If
Cleveland Browns owner-in-waiting Jimmy Haslam III is spending time
right now wondering whether to keep Mike Holmgren and Tom Heckert he
could, probably should, take into account the performance of The
Oldest Living Rookie Brandon Weeden on Sunday against the
Philadelphia Eagles.
The last time Browns fans saw an opening day quarterback perform this poorly (and believe me they seen a lot if opening day quarterbacks and a lot of them perform poorly) it was 2007 and it was Charlie Frye. He was traded two days later.
You can blame Weeden or you can blame the guys who picked him. I'd go with them. Consider: In the run up to this year's draft the St. Louis Rams owned the number two pick and were looking to sell it to the highest bidder. Indianapolis wasn't letting go of the number one pick they so richly earned and after jettisoning Peyton Manning, they were committed to Andrew Luck. Robert Griffin III was next in line on everyone's draft board and no one was even close.
The Rams told interested bidders they'd have one chance to make their best pitch for that pick. The Washington Redskins took that proclamation seriously. The Browns did not. The Redskins got a stellar performance from their pick (Griffin) on Sunday. The Browns did not. As head coach Pat Shurmur said in his Monday press conference, though in a different context, “simple as that.”
It would be one thing if the Browns had made their best offer and fell short. It happens. But Holmgren admitted that wasn't the case. He and Heckert ignored the bid instructions, assumed the Rams were bluffing and bet on the ability to make a stronger offer when the Rams called back. They never called back. Holmgren and Heckert stood dumb founded with egg on their face or their thumbs up their ass, you pick. Either way, it's the story of this regime and every other one that's come before them in the Browns 2.0 era. It’s been one massive miscalculation after another.
Naturally Holmgren, in that “hey I’m just being honest with you” sort of way he has when he’s shading the truth, basically put the blame on the Rams for not following established (?) league protocol in making sure they got the absolute best price for their pick. I mean, who doesn't call back, amiright? Holmgren even suggested the Browns were prepared to make an even better offer than the Redskins but weren’t given the chance. Maybe they were going to make a better offer, who knows? What we do know, or as our doppelganger Bill Belichick would say, is that going by only what we can see, they didn’t make their best offer when told to and the chance to be bold was overtaken by the need to be cautious. That’s why this franchise never really takes a step forward. Again, simple as that.
That's the thing about making one of those bold trades. The only time anyone even remembers what you gave up to make it is when the boldness fails in spectacular fashion. Big risks, big rewards and all the stuff. There probably are but a handful of people between St. Louis and Washington D.C. who can readily name exactly what it cost the Redskins to get Griffin and will remember if and only Griffin suddenly turns into Akili Smith. What Redskins fans know, though, is that they have Griffin and while one performance, either way, doesn't a career make, you'd still rather see your new quarterback play like he belongs in the NFL rather than in the SEC. Right now I’m not sure Weeden even starts for the Miami Redhawks.
**
With
Griffin and Luck out of reach, Holmgren and Heckert traded up to get
Trent Richardson instead, figuring that in a quarterback dominated
league, it’s better to have a guy with lingering knee problems
running the ball who can reliably be counted on to get you 2 yards
per carry. Besides, Brandon Weeden would be available later in the
first round. They guessed right.
One
of the main issues with relying on Weeden has everything to do with
his age. There’s one thing to be a 25-year old rookie, but a whole
other kettle of corn to be a 29-year old rookie, particularly when
the alternatives were 22-year old rookies. It’s simple math and
makes their timid approach to getting Griffin puzzling.
Griffin
is one of those 22-year olds. Even if he is the real deal (and the
earliest indications are far more promising then they are for Weeden,
but it’s a marathon not a sprint as Holmgren reminded us last
week), it’s still going to take 3 or so years to consistently play
at an elite level. The time period between big man on campus and
starting in the NFL has certainly lessened for quarterbacks, but the
learning curve once starting to gaining elite status is still
relatively lengthy considering it’s the hardest position to play in
all of professional sports. Getting NFL good just takes time. Ask
Drew Brees. Ask Aaron Rodgers. But when Griffin is ready to take
that next step, he’ll still be 3 or 4 years younger than Weeden is
today.
Weeden
is less certain as the real deal. There have been plenty of strong
armed quarterbacks that couldn’t make the adjustment. We had one in
Cleveland and his name is Derek Anderson. But giving Weeden that
same trajectory, he’ll be in his early to mid 30s when he finally
begins to figure it all out, if he sticks around that long. That
isn’t ancient, but it doesn’t give a whole lot of time to forge a
long career, either. For comparison sake, Peyton Manning is 36 years
old.
Weeden
at best is a then mid term solution. There simply isn’t enough
time in his career to be a long term solution. With that kind of
math you can just hear Holmgren and Heckert justifying the pick down
the road by saying Weeden was only a late first round pick, as if
this was the NBA. With that kind of thinking though, there’s
probably a far safer conclusion to reach: when it comes time to pick
the next Browns quarterback of the future, it won’t be Holmgren and
Heckert doing the picking.
**
If
there’s one thing that was clear in Shurmur’s post game comments
and his Monday presser about Weeden’s play, it’s that he wants to
make sure he doesn’t further damage Weeden’s psyche by giving
straight talking words to what everyone else saw.
That’s
laudable, I suppose, but on the other hand I’ve always thought that
if a NFL quarterback’s psyche is that fragile then perhaps he
shouldn’t be a NFL quarterback.
Shurmur
said he wasn’t disappointed in Weeden’s play, just disappointed
in some bad plays. It’s like saying that “New Year’s Eve”
wasn’t a disappointing movie; it just featured some disappointing
writing, acting and directing. I guess that’s why coaches get the
big bucks. It’s that ability to make a distinction without making
a difference.
Shurmur,
ever the optimist with the pessimist's demeanor, found “good news”
in that every problem is correctable. When you see an open receiver,
you just have to make a better throw. Simple as that.
Even
if it is theoretically possible for Shurmur to have been pleased with
Weeden’s performance but disappointed in all the bad plays he made,
a good chunk of that disappointment should lay directly at Shurmur’s
feet so maybe that’s what he meant all along.
During
the preseason Shurmur protected Weeden as if Weeden was Tom Brady.
Weeden didn’t play nearly enough in preseason and it showed. If
you look at Weeden’s preseason, he didn’t throw a touchdown pass
and when he had that opportunity to do so twice on Sunday, the lack
of experience showed. He missed wide open receivers by at least as
much as Holmgren and Heckert missed consummating the trade with the
Rams for that first pick.
It
would have been nice if instead of seeing the opportunity to complete
an important pass and getting all wide-eyed and nervous at the
flashpoint, Weeden would have instead seen the opportunity like
someone with experience does, a chance to complete a pass and give
his team a chance to win. But Shurmur denied Weeden that experience
by limiting his reps during preseason games and even going so far as
keeping Weeden out of the last preseason game. Another
miscalculation, but hey why start counting now?
**
Here’s
another reason Weeden’s lack of experience and Shurmur’s lack of
willingness to get him that experience hurt the Browns on Sunday.
It
was early in the fourth quarter, the Browns were up 16-10 and the
Eagles were driving. But that drive stalled just outside the red
zone and then the Eagles missed a 45 yard field goal. While a
touchdown might have seemed too far out of reach, a field goal did
not and, frankly, that’s all that was needed anyway.
Starting
with good field position at their own 35-yard line, Shurmur and
Childress lost their near, or more likely, their confidence in
Weeden. With three interceptions already (and one that was dropped),
they had a point.
The
play calling went like this: Richardson off left tackle, Richardson
off right tackle, Weeden short pass to Brandon Jackson that Jackson
alone turned into a 14-yard gain. It was a conservative, don't turn
it over approach, on which they got lucky. That should have given
Shumur/Childress some confidence but instead only made them more
scared of having another shoe drop.
So
they cashed in their chips. The rest of the play calling went like
this: Richardson off guard rights for a loss of one yard. Weeden
short pass to Greg Little, incomplete. Weeden short pass to Jackson,
incomplete. What’s notable about those short passes at that there
was no chance that either could garner a first down, particularly the
third down pass to Jackson. Indeed, that third down pass once it
fell incomplete, had all the feeling of the Indians trading for Brent
Lillibridge. The let down was palpable.
After
the Reggie Hodges punt pinned the Eagles to their own 9-yard line, we
know the rest of the story. It was a classic drive, extended by
penalties and mistakes, and ultimately concluding in the usual
backbreaking fashion.
When
Weeden came back in with 1:12 remaining and the team still just a
field goal away from winning, was there any doubt what would come
next? Weeden, denied any significant chance at gaining some
experience during preseason, reacted as you’d expect, if only more
quickly then we thought. He threw poorly on the first play, was
intercepted for the fourth time, and Michael Vick got a chance to
take a knee and end the game.
It
was a sad, but predictable ending, like so many that had come before
it.
**
The
story of the day was the play of the defense. They gave up a boat
load of yards, just as they did last season, but they limited the
scoring, just like they had last season.
What
was at least as impressive was the physical nature of their play.
They hit Vick hard and consistently. They were ball hawks. They
both contained and kept pressure on Vick throughout and had him
frustrated most of the day.
But
they were on the field much too long and it showed on the last drive.
There were several opportunities to limit the damage of the drive,
including a potential interception in the end zone, and consistently
came up short.
Still,
if there was good news in another Browns opening day loss, it was
that the game never got out of reach. If you're Andy Reid at the
moment, it may be time to rethink whether your team is even playoff
caliber.
**
Sticking
with today’s theme, here’s the question to ponder: What is more
damaging to Weeden’s confidence, having Colt McCoy breathe down his
neck or completing 12 passes out of 25 attempts for 118 yards and
throwing four interceptions?
Bonus
question to ponder: If the Browns get the number one pick next year,
do they draft Matt Barkley?
1 comment:
The "hurt Weeden's psyche" is the most ridiculous and clueless statement ever. A)He's a 29 year old man, not a toddler B) His psyche handled failing in a pro sport and overcoming that to succeed in getting $$$ in a different sport and in addition to that topic C) He was a pitcher with an ERA of 5: No doubt he knows what it's like to "not have good stuff" and have the manager come out and give him the heave ho. I'm NOT confident Weeden is an NFL QB. But I am SURE if you pull him out to win a game with a trusty backup, his "psyche" can handle that.
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